University of Wisconsin–Madison ⋅ Medical College of Wisconsin

Prevalence and Incidental Detection Rates of Thoracic Aortic Dilation and Aneurysm Across Computed Tomography Imaging Modalities in a Veteran Population

Tyler A. Jacobson, MD, MBA, MPH; Wilson Blomberg, MD; Charles Haynes, MD; Joshua S. Engel, MD, MBA; Katherine Sherman, MS; Hannah Lee, MD; Michael Markl, PhD; Bradley D. Allen, MD, MSc; Matthew J. Scheidt, MD, FSIR; Jeff Whittle, MD, MPH

WMJ. 2026;125(4):509-512. Published November 1, 2026.

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ABSTRACT

Background: The prevalence and incidental detection rates of thoracic aortic dilation (TAD) and thoracic aortic aneurysm (TAA) in computed tomography (CT)-based screening programs (eg, low-dose CT for lung cancer screening) are poorly characterized but could inform opportunistic screening strategies.

Methods: In this single-center retrospective cohort analysis, 9409 consecutive chest CT studies for 6795 unique patients at the Milwaukee Veterans Affairs Medical Center in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, were evaluated between January 2023 and January 2025. Radiology reports were reviewed manually. Incidental cases were defined as findings not previously documented in clinical notes or prior imaging. Point prevalence and incidental rates were calculated.

Results: The overall prevalence of TAD and TAA across CT cohorts was 6.1% (95% CI, 5.5%–6.6%) and 1.2% (95% CI, 0.95%–1.5%), respectively. The prevalence of TAD was 8.1% for low-dose CT (95% CI, 7.1%–9.1%), 8.3% for CT without contrast (95% CI, 6.5%–10.1%), and 3.2% for CT with contrast (95% CI, 2.6%–3.9%). The incidental detection rate of TAD was higher for low-dose CT (3.7%) than for CT without contrast (1.9%) and CT with contrast (1.2%).

Conclusions: Thoracic aortic dilation and thoracic aortic aneurysm are common among veterans undergoing clinically indicated chest CT imaging. Integrating opportunistic aortic assessment into existing CT screening programs deserves prospective evaluation to determine its clinical relevance and impact on downstream management.


Author affiliations: Department of Medicine, Medical College of Wisconsin, Milwaukee, Wisconsin (Blomberg, Haynes, Jacobson, Lee, Whittle); Medicine Division, Clement J. Zablocki VA Medical Center, Milwaukee, Wisconsin (Blomberg, Haynes, Jacobson, Lee, Sherman, Whittle); Department of Radiology, Feinberg School of Medicine, Northwestern University, Chicago, Illinois (Allen, Engel, Markl); Department of Biomedical Engineering, McCormick School of Engineering, Northwestern University, Evanston, Illinois (Engel, Markl); Department of Radiology, Clement J. Zablocki VA Medical Center, Milwaukee, Wisconsin (Scheidt).
Corresponding author:
Tyler A. Jacobson, MD, MBA, MPH, internal medicine resident (PGY-2), Department of Medicine, Froedtert & Medical College of Wisconsin, Clement J. Zablocki Milwaukee VA Medical Center, Milwaukee, WI; email tjacobson@mcw.edu; ORCID ID 0000-0002-9655-1186
Funding/support: None declared.
Financial disclosures: Dr Allen reports grants to institution (Northwestern University) from Guerbet and the National Institutes of Health/National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (NIH/NHLBI) and grant to institution (Third Coast Dynamics) from NIH/NHLBI; consulting fees from Circle Cardiovascular Imaging; payment for lectures from Siemens, MRI Online, and Circle Cardiovascular Imaging; payment for expert testimony from Burns-White; payment for attending meetings and/or travel from Siemens; patents pending with Northwestern University; co-founder and president of Third Coast Dynamics; stock or stock options in Third Coast Dynamics. Dr Markl reports grant support from Siemens and Circle Cardiovascular Imaging and is cofounder of and a shareholder in Third Coast Dynamics.
Acknowledgements: The authors would like to thank Nikola Ljubic and Greg Czajka at the Milwaukee VA Medical Center for assistance with the data request used in this analysis.
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